The current stability in Rwanda, the fear of the invocation of the cessation clause by the end of 2017, the possible political instability which might affect DRC in 2016 and 2017 due to the elections, and the intensification of sensitization campaigns on voluntary returns will influence some Rwandan refugees to opt for voluntary repatriation in 2017. Given the logistical constraints and the inaccessibility to the areas where some of the Rwandan refugees live, a strategic approach for voluntary repatriation needs to be developed within the framework of the tripartite agreement between Rwandan and Congolese authorities and UNHCR. It is estimated that some 40 per cent of the registered Rwandan refugees (around 30,000) will opt for this durable solution.
On the other hand, in Gabon, few of the Chadian refugees who have lived in the country for over 20 years will opt for repatriation. Repatriation will be seen as an alternative by the PoCs only if there is an appealing incentive to return and that the conditions for reintegration in the country of origin are guaranteed and attractive. An intentions survey conducted in 2015 revealed that 3 per cent of the POCs expressed an interest for voluntary repatriation.
In the context of limited resources, UNHCR will explore the CBI approach to assist the candidates that opt for voluntary repatriation. Finally, in the urban areas, UNHCR will facilitate the voluntary return of refugees of diverse nationalities who decide to return to their country of origin.
2017